Map Predicts Global Climate Change Impact-Levels

A map developed by McGill University PhD candidate Jason Samson predicts in detail the most vulnerable areas of the world to global climate change through the year 2050.

View the large map in PDF here.

Michigan and the United States appear to be moderately affected, but less-developed areas of the world will face significant change. Ironically, those areas of the world hardest-hit are those least-responsible for green-house gas emissions and those already dealing with high temperatures and drought conditions, as noted by the Environmental News Network’s (ENN) Karina Grudnikov.

Excerpt from McGill University’s press release on the story:

Samson and fellow researchers combined climate change data with censuses covering close to 97 percent of the world’s population in order to forecast potential changes in local populations for 2050. Samson’s team found that if populations continue to increase at the expected rates, those who are likely to be the most vulnerable to climate change are the people living in low-latitude, hot regions of the world, places like central South America, the Arabian Peninsula and much of Africa.

In these areas, a relatively small increase in temperature will have serious consequences on a region’s ability to sustain a growing population. ‘It makes sense that the low latitude tropical regions should be more vulnerable because the people there already experience extremely hot conditions which make agriculture challenging. An increase in temperature over the next few decades will only make their lives more difficult in a variety of ways,’ says Samson.

View the full online McGill press release here.

View the abstract of Samson’s academic study, published online by the journal Global Ecology and Biogeography, here.

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